Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 80.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Cirelli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Acciari
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Cirelli
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
56.7% (393)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
48.0% (202)
+0.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Acciari
Home
46.7% (649)
54.5% (279)
Away
53.5% (643)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Cirelli
Acciari
P1
50.1%
56.9%
P2
51.1%
51.4%
P3
48.5%
53.2%
OT
64.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |