Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Acciari 52.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 81.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Cirelli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Acciari
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Cirelli
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
53.1% (375)
-3.4%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
51.5% (33)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (53)
50.5% (111)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cirelli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Cirelli shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Acciari
Home
47.5% (217)
49.4% (243)
Away
50.6% (245)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Cirelli
Acciari
P1
55.0%
50.9%
P2
44.8%
54.7%
P3
46.2%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |