Anthony Cirelli vs Oliver Kapanen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 63.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 57.0%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Cirelli
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
47.5% (514)
+2.9%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
55.0% (40)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
39.5% (38)
-3.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kapanen
Home
54.2% (395)
47.9% (307)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Cirelli
Kapanen
P1
50.8%
42.7%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
46.6%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |