Anthony Cirelli vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 65.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 57.2%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Cirelli
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
47.2% (559)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
51.0% (51)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
39.5% (38)
+4.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Cirelli shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kapanen
Home
49.6% (3,763)
47.1% (340)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Cirelli
Kapanen
P1
49.9%
42.7%
P2
48.8%
50.2%
P3
49.2%
48.2%
OT
51.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |