Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 63.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 65.4%
Neutral zone
Krebs 62.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Cirelli
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Krebs
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Cirelli
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Cirelli
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
45.5% (501)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
50.0% (20)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
37.1% (35)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Krebs
Home
52.4% (462)
43.9% (285)
Away
50.1% (369)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Cirelli
Krebs
P1
50.7%
45.4%
P2
49.6%
50.9%
P3
53.3%
39.7%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |