Anthony Cirelli vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Danault 54.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 57.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 73.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Cirelli
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Cirelli
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
56.5% (711)
-6.1%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
46.0% (50)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
51.7% (116)
-15.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cirelli is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Cirelli shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Danault
Home
54.2% (395)
57.0% (379)
Away
45.0% (509)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Cirelli
Danault
P1
50.8%
55.8%
P2
50.0%
55.3%
P3
46.6%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |