Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Suter 49.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 58.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 58.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 63.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Cirelli
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cirelli
Suter
Last 9: Cirelli 6-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Suter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
49.8% (840)
-3.4%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
57.4% (68)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
39.6% (96)
-2.1%
On even strength, Suter has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suter
Home
46.7% (478)
49.8% (502)
Away
46.4% (470)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Cirelli
Suter
P1
46.6%
46.7%
P2
48.6%
51.7%
P3
44.3%
48.9%
OT
44.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |