Anthony Cirelli vs Pontus Holmberg
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 55.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cirelli
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Holmberg
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Holmberg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
49.0% (245)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
48.6% (37)
+0.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Holmberg
Home
46.7% (649)
50.3% (147)
Away
53.5% (643)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Cirelli
Holmberg
P1
50.1%
59.2%
P2
51.1%
40.0%
P3
48.5%
46.9%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |