Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 66.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 65.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cirelli
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
54.1% (292)
-7.7%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
57.1% (7)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
45.9% (98)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Cirelli is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Cirelli shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nash
Home
46.7% (478)
56.3% (183)
Away
46.4% (470)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Cirelli
Nash
P1
46.6%
58.9%
P2
48.6%
51.0%
P3
44.3%
46.5%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |