Anthony Cirelli vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.0%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.4% vs Chartier 50.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.6%
Defensive zone
Chartier 55.3%
Neutral zone
Chartier 60.4%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Cirelli
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Chartier
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Chartier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,684)
50.8% (329)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.9% (571)
66.7% (6)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,196)
45.6% (79)
-1.8%
On power play, Chartier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,600).
Cirelli shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Chartier
Home
49.6% (3,763)
48.3% (240)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Cirelli
Chartier
P1
49.9%
51.5%
P2
48.8%
48.1%
P3
49.2%
50.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |