Anthony Cirelli vs Rourke Chartier
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Chartier 51.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 50.3%
Defensive zone
Chartier 69.1%
Neutral zone
Chartier 69.1%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Cirelli
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cirelli
Chartier
Last 5: Cirelli 4-1 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Chartier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
54.2% (225)
-3.3%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
75.0% (4)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
43.3% (67)
+0.7%
On power play, Chartier has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Chartier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Chartier
Home
50.6% (494)
49.5% (202)
Away
47.6% (441)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Cirelli
Chartier
P1
52.3%
51.6%
P2
45.4%
49.5%
P3
49.5%
54.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |