Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.6%). Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 58.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 53.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Cirelli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Reinhart
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Cirelli
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Reinhart
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
49.4% (259)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
54.4% (136)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
47.9% (71)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Reinhart
Home
52.4% (462)
54.9% (235)
Away
50.1% (369)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Cirelli
Reinhart
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
51.4%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |