Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 90.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 86.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Cirelli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Cirelli
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (613)
39.5% (453)
+10.9%
Power Play
69.9% (83)
42.4% (59)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (208)
0.0% (1)
+36.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Cirelli shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Wright
Home
54.2% (395)
39.5% (286)
Away
45.0% (509)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Cirelli
Wright
P1
50.8%
39.9%
P2
50.0%
37.1%
P3
46.6%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |