Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Wright 45.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 84.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Cirelli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cirelli
Wright
Last 7: Cirelli 5-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
43.9% (758)
+6.0%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
50.7% (67)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
40.0% (5)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Wright
Home
46.7% (649)
46.3% (406)
Away
53.5% (643)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Cirelli
Wright
P1
50.1%
46.8%
P2
51.1%
42.6%
P3
48.5%
44.4%
OT
64.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |