Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Crosby 56.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 88.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 73.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Cirelli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Cirelli
Crosby
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
10
Cirelli
Crosby
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
5
Cirelli
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Cirelli
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
56.2% (1,451)
-6.3%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
61.4% (293)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
55.3% (38)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Cirelli shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Crosby
Home
46.7% (649)
59.1% (939)
Away
53.5% (643)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Cirelli
Crosby
P1
50.1%
54.9%
P2
51.1%
60.8%
P3
48.5%
55.4%
OT
64.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |