Anthony Cirelli vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 81.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 92.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 81.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Cirelli
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Cirelli
Stamkos
Last 7: Cirelli 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cirelli
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cirelli
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Cirelli
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
57.1% (368)
-7.0%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
55.2% (96)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
50.0% (10)
-13.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stamkos
Home
53.0% (470)
53.9% (230)
Away
45.0% (509)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Cirelli
Stamkos
P1
50.6%
56.7%
P2
49.2%
54.1%
P3
47.2%
59.2%
OT
30.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |