Anthony Cirelli vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 77.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 68.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Cirelli
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Cirelli
Stamkos
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Cirelli
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
5
Cirelli
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
55.2% (1,729)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
49.6% (827)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (3,838)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Cirelli
Stamkos
P1
49.9%
49.2%
P2
48.7%
52.7%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
51.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |