Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Rask 50.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 71.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 66.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Cirelli
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Rask
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Cirelli
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Cirelli
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
50.6% (172)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
50.0% (4)
+7.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rask
Home
46.7% (478)
53.7% (82)
Away
46.4% (470)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Cirelli
Rask
P1
46.6%
56.0%
P2
48.6%
47.5%
P3
44.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
46.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |