Anthony Cirelli vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 61.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Cirelli
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cirelli
Karlsson
Last 8: Cirelli 5-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Cirelli
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
55.3% (897)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
61.1% (113)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.8% (132)
-4.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (462)
58.6% (560)
Away
50.1% (369)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Cirelli
Karlsson
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
49.6%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
55.7%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | OT | 00:18 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |