Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 38 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Horvat 54.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 45-33 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 57.3%
Defensive zone
Vermette 60.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 60.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Vermette
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
33
(78 meetings)
45
33
Vermette
Horvat
Last 10: Vermette 3-7 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
28
10
Vermette
Horvat
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
13
Vermette
Horvat
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
10
Vermette
Horvat
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
53.9% (12,606)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
61.0% (2,699)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
47.1% (1,494)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Home / Away
Vermette
Horvat
Home
58.3% (5,008)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Vermette
Horvat
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
58.4%
54.4%
P3
56.2%
55.0%
OT
55.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |