Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Talbot 45.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 66.6%
Defensive zone
Talbot 80.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 57.2%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Vermette
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vermette
Talbot
Last 7: Vermette 3-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Talbot
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
1
Vermette
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
3
Vermette
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
45.1% (450)
+12.4%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
50.0% (20)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
40.5% (163)
+2.7%
On even strength, Vermette has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Vermette
Talbot
Home
58.7% (547)
47.8% (295)
Away
54.6% (593)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Vermette
Talbot
P1
58.6%
47.0%
P2
58.7%
41.5%
P3
52.7%
44.5%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |