Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Talbot 47.0% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 85.6%
Defensive zone
Vermette 54.1%
Neutral zone
Vermette 70.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Vermette
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Vermette
Talbot
Last 10: Vermette 6-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
1
Vermette
Talbot
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
7
Vermette
Talbot
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
48.3% (1,738)
+8.6%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
49.0% (51)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
42.3% (631)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Vermette
Talbot
Home
58.3% (5,008)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Vermette
Talbot
P1
56.9%
48.7%
P2
58.4%
43.5%
P3
56.2%
48.6%
OT
55.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |