Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 64.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 61.3% vs Dowd 48.1% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 74.7%
Defensive zone
Vermette 97.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 90.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Vermette
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Vermette
Dowd
Last 10: Vermette 10-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (880)
47.2% (608)
+15.2%
Power Play
63.0% (135)
53.1% (96)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (180)
0.0% (3)
+61.1%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Vermette is 64.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Vermette shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Vermette
Dowd
Home
63.4% (585)
48.7% (384)
Away
61.1% (610)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Vermette
Dowd
P1
62.5%
50.2%
P2
63.4%
47.5%
P3
60.9%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
62.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |