Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Vermette leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 97.8%
Defensive zone
Vermette 82.7%
Neutral zone
Vermette 84.6%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Vermette
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Vermette
Dowd
Last 10: Vermette 9-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
4
0
Vermette
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
2
Vermette
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
1
Vermette
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
52.4% (6,009)
+4.5%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
56.1% (164)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
44.1% (1,635)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Vermette is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,782).
Vermette shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Vermette
Dowd
Home
58.3% (5,008)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Vermette
Dowd
P1
56.9%
51.7%
P2
58.4%
50.4%
P3
56.2%
50.3%
OT
55.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
56.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |