Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 56.0% vs Pelley 49.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 70.2%
Defensive zone
Pelley 70.6%
Neutral zone
Pelley 71.0%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Vermette
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Vermette
Pelley
Last 8: Vermette 3-5 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Vermette
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
3
Vermette
Pelley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (857)
49.6% (232)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.6% (177)
0.0% (4)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (95)
53.3% (15)
-10.1%
On power play, Vermette has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Vermette shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Vermette
Pelley
Home
58.7% (547)
50.0% (94)
Away
54.6% (593)
48.8% (160)
By Period
Vermette
Pelley
P1
58.6%
46.0%
P2
58.7%
49.0%
P3
52.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |