Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs Pelley 51.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 60.9%
Defensive zone
Pelley 72.5%
Neutral zone
Pelley 67.5%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Vermette
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Vermette
Pelley
Last 8: Vermette 3-5 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Vermette
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vermette
Pelley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
3
Vermette
Pelley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
51.4% (440)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
25.0% (8)
+34.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
50.8% (118)
+4.3%
On power play, Vermette has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Vermette
Pelley
Home
58.3% (5,008)
52.9% (221)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Vermette
Pelley
P1
56.9%
50.8%
P2
58.4%
49.3%
P3
56.2%
53.8%
OT
55.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |