Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lander wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs O'Reilly 46.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 52.5%
Defensive zone
Lander 63.2%
Neutral zone
Lander 57.7%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 5: Lander 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lander
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Lander
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
44.5% (238)
+1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.3% (29)
-15.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
47.7% (195)
50.9% (112)
Away
37.6% (149)
40.4% (156)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
39.7%
56.5%
P2
45.9%
40.4%
P3
45.0%
36.3%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |