Scouting Report
Anton Lander holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs O'Reilly 47.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.5%
Defensive zone
Lander 54.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 6: Lander 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lander
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Lander
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
46.5% (800)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
50.4% (129)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
50.0% (8)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (929)
50.6% (480)
Away
48.6% (915)
43.2% (465)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
46.4%
47.1%
P2
52.8%
46.7%
P3
52.3%
46.8%
OT
30.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |