Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.7%). Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Backes 50.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lander 53.4%
Defensive zone
Lander 66.8%
Neutral zone
Lander 59.9%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Lander
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Lander
Backes
Last 10: Lander 5-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
5
Lander
Backes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Lander
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
5
Lander
Backes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
51.1% (5,772)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
50.8% (1,082)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
47.4% (930)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Lander is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (710).
Lander shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Lander
Backes
Home
52.2% (929)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
48.6% (915)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Lander
Backes
P1
46.4%
50.1%
P2
52.8%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
50.8%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | David Backes |