Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 46.5% vs Duchene 50.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 58.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Lander
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lander
Duchene
Last 6: Lander 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
3
1
Lander
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
2
0
Lander
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (127)
49.4% (933)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
58.7% (104)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
47.6% (21)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lander is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Lander shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Lander
Duchene
Home
44.4% (99)
51.9% (534)
Away
44.3% (61)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Lander
Duchene
P1
43.4%
51.0%
P2
46.0%
48.8%
P3
44.6%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
44.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |