Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lander 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lander 55.5%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Lander
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Lander
Duchene
Last 10: Lander 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
7
Lander
Duchene
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
6
4
Lander
Duchene
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lander
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
56.9% (1,665)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
49.1% (468)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Lander
Duchene
Home
52.2% (929)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.6% (915)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Lander
Duchene
P1
46.4%
54.5%
P2
52.8%
54.5%
P3
52.3%
53.4%
OT
30.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |