Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.1% vs Duchene 52.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 57.1%
Defensive zone
Lander 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lander 54.0%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lander
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lander
Duchene
Last 8: Lander 3-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lander
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Lander
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lander
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (383)
52.6% (1,081)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
49.6% (119)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
41.2% (17)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lander is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Lander shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Lander
Duchene
Home
52.1% (217)
54.9% (625)
Away
48.3% (234)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Lander
Duchene
P1
44.7%
52.7%
P2
54.0%
54.1%
P3
50.7%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |