Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.1% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lander 65.0%
Defensive zone
Lander 62.7%
Neutral zone
Lander 61.8%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lander 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Lander
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
5
2
Lander
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Lander
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (383)
52.7% (900)
-0.7%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
55.6% (225)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
54.5% (209)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (217)
55.1% (693)
Away
48.3% (234)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
44.7%
51.5%
P2
54.0%
54.7%
P3
50.7%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
69.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |