Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Lander 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lander 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lander 64.4%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lander 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
9
Lander
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
8
6
Lander
O'Reilly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Lander
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
51.4% (2,811)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,134).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (929)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.6% (915)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
46.4%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
52.3%
55.1%
OT
30.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |