Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 54.0% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.4%
Defensive zone
Lander 50.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Lander
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lander
O'Reilly
Last 6: Lander 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lander
2
1
Lander
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
2
0
Lander
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lander
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (507)
56.9% (1,203)
-2.1%
Power Play
63.5% (52)
60.2% (329)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (134)
50.4% (280)
-0.4%
On power play, Lander has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lander is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Lander shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Lander
O'Reilly
Home
55.6% (315)
58.6% (879)
Away
53.7% (378)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Lander
O'Reilly
P1
51.8%
55.6%
P2
55.3%
57.9%
P3
57.1%
55.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Anton Lander |