Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.6%). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Cozens 46.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 65.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lundell
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Lundell
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Lundell
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
45.6% (746)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
50.8% (65)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
34.5% (29)
-2.3%
On power play, Lundell has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Lundell
Cozens
Home
46.3% (434)
43.9% (410)
Away
42.4% (314)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Lundell
Cozens
P1
46.6%
46.4%
P2
39.9%
41.6%
P3
47.1%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |