Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 87.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 76.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Lundell
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundell
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
46.1% (256)
+8.5%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
47.5% (122)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
16.7% (6)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Lundell
Guentzel
Home
51.2% (527)
49.3% (201)
Away
54.8% (496)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Lundell
Guentzel
P1
53.7%
49.6%
P2
51.7%
45.6%
P3
54.1%
41.6%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |