Anton Lundell vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.4%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Pageau 55.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 72.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lundell
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lundell
Pageau
Last 9: Lundell 5-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Lundell
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
57.1% (905)
-2.8%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
55.2% (116)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
48.0% (204)
+3.0%
On power play, Lundell has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lundell is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Lundell shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Lundell
Pageau
Home
57.3% (450)
57.0% (618)
Away
52.3% (428)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Lundell
Pageau
P1
54.3%
54.4%
P2
58.2%
61.0%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |