Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 91.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 87.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 89.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Lundell
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lundell
Carlsson
Last 5: Lundell 4-1 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
34.4% (535)
+19.9%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
42.9% (21)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
40.0% (5)
+11.0%
On power play, Lundell has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Lundell
Carlsson
Home
57.3% (450)
38.6% (254)
Away
52.3% (428)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Lundell
Carlsson
P1
54.3%
35.9%
P2
58.2%
33.8%
P3
52.0%
34.3%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |