Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 90.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Lundell
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lundell
Draisaitl
Last 6: Lundell 5-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
55.9% (835)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
61.8% (228)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
50.0% (40)
-2.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Lundell
Draisaitl
Home
51.0% (574)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.6% (546)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Lundell
Draisaitl
P1
52.9%
55.8%
P2
55.8%
55.7%
P3
47.1%
59.0%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |