Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 79.5%
Defensive zone
Lundell 50.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 60.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Lundell
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lundell
Draisaitl
Last 8: Lundell 5-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
53.7% (923)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
56.1% (244)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
58.6% (29)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Lundell
Draisaitl
Home
51.2% (527)
55.2% (636)
Away
54.8% (496)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Lundell
Draisaitl
P1
53.7%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
56.6%
P3
54.1%
54.0%
OT
20.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |