Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 63.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Lundell
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundell
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
54.1% (527)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
50.0% (14)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
57.5% (40)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Lundell
Jankowski
Home
51.0% (574)
53.9% (310)
Away
52.6% (546)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Lundell
Jankowski
P1
52.9%
54.6%
P2
55.8%
56.3%
P3
47.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |