Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Barzal 46.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lundell
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lundell
Barzal
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Lundell
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
3
Lundell
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
46.6% (483)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
40.9% (22)
+17.4%
On power play, Lundell has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Lundell
Barzal
Home
46.3% (434)
49.6% (242)
Away
42.4% (314)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Lundell
Barzal
P1
46.6%
42.4%
P2
39.9%
49.5%
P3
47.1%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |