Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.8%). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Zacha 54.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Lundell
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lundell
Zacha
Last 10: Lundell 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Lundell
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lundell
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lundell
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
53.9% (787)
+0.4%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
63.2% (193)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
44.3% (88)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lundell
Zacha
Home
57.3% (450)
56.7% (538)
Away
52.3% (428)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Lundell
Zacha
P1
54.3%
52.6%
P2
58.2%
54.8%
P3
52.0%
56.8%
OT
75.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
60.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |