Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Holmberg leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Holmberg 50.8%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 60.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.0%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Lundell
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lundell
Holmberg
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
3
Lundell
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Holmberg
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
45.7% (175)
+8.6%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
75.0% (8)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
40.0% (20)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Lundell
Holmberg
Home
57.3% (450)
50.9% (112)
Away
52.3% (428)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Lundell
Holmberg
P1
54.3%
47.1%
P2
58.2%
45.7%
P3
52.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |