Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.6%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Thomas 51.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 58.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 54.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lundell
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Lundell
Thomas
Last 10: Lundell 2-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
7
Lundell
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lundell
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
5
Lundell
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
51.1% (5,350)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
55.8% (921)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
49.9% (691)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Lundell
Thomas
Home
50.7% (2,304)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Lundell
Thomas
P1
52.0%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
49.0%
50.8%
OT
48.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | OT | 01:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |