Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 55.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 61.6%
Neutral zone
Lundell 60.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lundell
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Lundell
Johansen
Last 10: Lundell 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Lundell
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
5
Lundell
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
50.5% (978)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Lundell
Johansen
Home
50.7% (2,304)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Lundell
Johansen
P1
52.0%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
49.0%
52.8%
OT
48.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |