Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Johansen 52.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 81.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 66.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Lundell
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lundell
Johansen
Last 8: Lundell 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Lundell
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Lundell
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
49.4% (1,010)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
62.3% (236)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
67.2% (67)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Lundell
Johansen
Home
46.3% (434)
54.7% (655)
Away
42.4% (314)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Lundell
Johansen
P1
46.6%
52.2%
P2
39.9%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |