Anton Lundell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Lundell 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
50.3% (479)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
50.0% (28)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
30.0% (50)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (527)
48.9% (270)
Away
54.8% (496)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Lundell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.7%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
47.3%
OT
20.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |