Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.2%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 56.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lundell
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Lundell
Steel
Last 10: Lundell 7-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
50.6% (2,876)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
62.6% (179)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
37.4% (254)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Lundell
Steel
Home
50.7% (2,304)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Lundell
Steel
P1
52.0%
51.9%
P2
51.4%
49.5%
P3
49.0%
49.6%
OT
48.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |